Wednesday, 13 May 2026

The Briefing

A 32-month CAC payback period in the $1M–$10M ARR band reveals what many CFOs already suspected: the path to efficient growth has lengthened considerably, and the SaaS playbook that worked at scale doesn't translate cleanly downmarket. Dave Kellogg's latest benchmark dissection arrives at the right moment, offering operators a clear-eyed view of where their metrics actually sit relative to peers—not aspirational decks from 2021. Meanwhile, the emergence of agentic security frameworks signals a structural shift in enterprise spend allocation, one that could compress sales cycles for infrastructure plays while extending them for point solutions. Watch whether Q2 data shows payback compression or whether founders are finally internalizing that 24 months isn't coming back.

Today's Number

CAC Payback Period

32

SIM–SSM ARR band

Active DebateAI in Finance

KeyBanc vs OnlyCFO

Claim 6 shows nearly all SaaS companies expect to invest in AI with anticipated operational impacts, while claim 9 indicates over 50% of finance leaders lack an AI strategy, suggesting investment intention without strategic clarity.

Nearly all SaaS companies in the survey expect to invest in AI in 2025, with impacts to business operations anticipated within the next 3 years
— KeyBanc Capital Markets & Sapphire Ventures 2025 SaaS Survey: AI-Driven Growth & Profitability Focus
Over 50% of finance leaders have no AI strategy for adopting AI into finance and accounting
— How to AI (CFO Edition): AI Adoption Strategy and Finance Use Cases
Rising Author

Dave Kellogg

3 new articles in the last 60 days · up 90% vs prior 60d · 207 all-time

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Fresh BenchmarkTomasz Tunguz (Theory Ventures)

AI-Powered Security: Building Agentic Defense Systems for the Enterprise

This article discusses the emerging challenge of securing enterprises where both attackers and defenders operate as autonomous AI agents. Featuring CISO Jonatha

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