SaaStr · 2015-06-10
· 4012d
The 'Dry Bubble' in VC: High Valuations, Low Cash Returns
Jason Lemkin analyzes Bill Gurley's warning about a 'dry bubble' in venture capital where companies have high paper valuations but minimal cash has been returned to investors. The gap between TVPI (paper markups) and DPI (actual cash distributions) is at historic highs, with 75% of invested capital trapped in private unicorns. The situation could be resolved by IPOs of major companies like Uber and Airbnb, or represent a fundamental valuation disconnect.
Metrics in this report
Capital Trapped in Private Unicorns
75%
as of 2014
percentage of invested venture capital in private companies
Paper Markup Example
100x
single example
investment from $10M to $1B valuation