The odds of making it: A new look inside startup growth from zero to $25 million ARR

Analysis of 6,500+ SaaS startups reveals that only 49.4% reach $1M ARR within 10 years, 2% reach $25M ARR (harder than Harvard admission), and most successful companies take 2-5 years to reach $1M. AI-native startups are 3x more likely to hit $1M in 6 months and 8x more likely to reach $10M in 12 months, while geography matters less than product category and cohort timing.