onlycfo.io · 2024-07-18 · 686d

Software IPOs in 2024: Market Conditions, Subscale Company Viability, and the OneStream Test

The article analyzes the 2024 software IPO landscape, noting a dramatic decline from the 2021 boom despite strong overall equity markets. It argues that subscale cloud companies (<$500M revenue) face significant valuation discounts due to unproven revenue growth endurance relative to mature peers, using OneStream's $500M ARR IPO as a market test case.

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Metrics in this report

Cloud Index Return

25percent

5-year

Bessemer Cloud Index (WCLD) tracking public cloud companies

Free Cash Flow (FCF) Margin

11percent

OneStream IPO candidate, described as needing 'meaningful progress towards even stronger long-term profit margins'

Free Cash Flow (FCF) Margin

32percent

benchmark

CrowdStrike mature public company with $3.6B revenue

Gross Revenue Retention (GRR)

98percent

best-in-class

OneStream IPO candidate metrics

Market Cap

9billion USD

minimum

AppFolio, smallest by market cap among top 10 revenue multiple public cloud companies

Market Cap

70billion USD

average

Top 10 highest revenue multiple public cloud companies

Net Revenue Retention (NRR)

118percent

best-in-class

OneStream IPO candidate metrics

Revenue Growth Rate

34percent YoY

target

OneStream at $500M ARR, described as 'good but should be looked at in context of revenue size'

Revenue Growth Rate

29percent

benchmark

CrowdStrike mature public company comparison for OneStream

Rule of 40 Score

45score

OneStream IPO candidate (34% growth + 11% FCF margin)

S&P 500 Contribution

35percent

Nvidia's contribution to S&P 500 gains in 2024 year-to-date

Stock Market Index Return

157percent

5-year

QQQ ETF (broad technology market) performance