onlycfo.io · 2025-08-24
· 284d
Answering the AI Gross Margin Debate: Terminal EBITDA Margin as the Real Measure of Long-Term Monopoly Power
The article examines the debate over low/negative gross margins in AI companies, arguing that gross margin alone is a poor predictor of long-term business viability. The author contends that terminal EBITDA margin—and whether companies build defensible competitive advantages—matters far more than current gross margins, with sustainable free cash flow generation ultimately determining long-term value creation.
Metrics in this report
Cost of Goods Sold (COGS)
50.0percent
average
AI products (versus traditional 25% in SaaS)
Gross Margin
75.0percent
average
Historical SaaS companies at scale
Gross Margin
50.0percent
average
Most current AI products
Gross Margin
60.0percent
average
Bessemer 'Shooting Stars' AI companies