onlycfo.io · 2025-08-24 · 284d

Answering the AI Gross Margin Debate: Terminal EBITDA Margin as the Real Measure of Long-Term Monopoly Power

The article examines the debate over low/negative gross margins in AI companies, arguing that gross margin alone is a poor predictor of long-term business viability. The author contends that terminal EBITDA margin—and whether companies build defensible competitive advantages—matters far more than current gross margins, with sustainable free cash flow generation ultimately determining long-term value creation.

4 metrics· Cited 0× in the knowledge base ·Open source ↗

Metrics in this report

Cost of Goods Sold (COGS)

50.0percent

average

AI products (versus traditional 25% in SaaS)

Gross Margin

75.0percent

average

Historical SaaS companies at scale

Gross Margin

50.0percent

average

Most current AI products

Gross Margin

60.0percent

average

Bessemer 'Shooting Stars' AI companies