onlycfo.io · 2025-01-05
· 515d
Palantir Valuation Analysis: Expensive vs. Overvalued – A Rule of 40 Deep Dive
The article examines whether Palantir's 50x NTM revenue multiple represents a bubble or justified premium by analyzing three valuation drivers: revenue growth & endurance, FCF margins, and dilution. Palantir's exceptional Rule of 40 score (highest among public cloud companies), accelerating growth trajectory, and 39% FCF margins provide fundamental support for its premium valuation, though the margin of safety is razor-thin and requires near-perfect execution for 10+ years.
Metrics in this report
EV / NTM Revenue Multiple
50x
Palantir current valuation
EV / NTM Revenue Multiple
6.2x
median
Median software company
EV / NTM Revenue Multiple
19x
Cloudflare (second-highest in peer set)
EV / NTM Revenue Multiple
38x
Zoom at peak (2021)
EV / NTM Revenue Multiple
3.7x
Zoom current (2025)
Free Cash Flow Margin
39percent
Palantir current
Revenue Growth Rate
3percent
Zoom current NTM
Revenue Growth Rate (NTM)
25percent
Palantir expected growth
Rule of 40 Score
64points
highest
Palantir vs. public cloud companies