Fastly's Collapse: Lessons in Broken Unit Economics and SaaS Valuation Destruction
Fastly has collapsed from the 7th highest revenue multiple in 2020 to near-zero investor favor, driven by broken unit economics, sub-60% gross margins, 2% revenue growth, negative FCF, declining NRR (102% and falling), and a toxic culture. The article uses Fastly as a cautionary tale about why high growth multiples fail when underlying SaaS fundamentals deteriorate, and argues that gross margins act as a ceiling on profitability that cannot be overcome.
Metrics in this report
-35.7millions USD
Fastly 2024 FCF despite 7% total revenue growth
57%percent
Fastly at time of analysis
70%percent
median
Top 10 public cloud companies in Oct 2020
75%percent
average
Comparable SaaS companies (Amplitude cited at ~77%)
102%percent
Fastly current quarter (down from 105% prior quarter, 113% YoY)
-22%percent
Fastly at time of analysis (2020 top 10 comp average: -12%)
2%percent
Fastly Q4 2024
36.5xmultiple
Fastly in Oct 2020 (7th highest among public cloud companies)
3%percent
Fastly (4th worst among public cloud companies tracked)