onlycfo.io · 2025-12-12 · 174d

Layoffs Near Great Recession Levels: Signs, Causes, and 2026 Planning Implications

U.S. layoffs reached 1.2M in 2025 (Jan-Nov), up 54% YoY and approaching 2009 Great Recession levels, driven primarily by slower-than-expected revenue growth and cost management pressures. The article identifies seven warning signs of impending layoffs and emphasizes that companies use hiring freezes, limited backfills, and layoffs to manage people costs, which represent 70-80% of tech company budgets. CFOs should expect continued workforce reduction pressure in 2026 as boards push for cash efficiency and cost-to-revenue alignment.

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Metrics in this report

People Costs as % of Total Costs

75percent

average range

Software/tech companies (noted as 70-80% range)

Tech Layoffs (2023)

260000employees

peak year

Technology sector

Tech Layoffs (2025 Jan-Nov)

125000employees

YTD actual

Technology sector

U.S. Layoffs (2009 Great Recession)

1240000employees

historical benchmark

Great Recession baseline for comparison

U.S. Layoffs (2020 COVID)

2300000employees

historical benchmark

COVID pandemic peak layoff year

U.S. Layoffs (YTD)

1200000employees

2025 Jan-Nov actual

U.S. total economy, all industries

U.S. Layoffs YoY Growth

54percent

2025 vs 2024

U.S. total economy