Layoffs Near Great Recession Levels: Signs, Causes, and 2026 Planning Implications
U.S. layoffs reached 1.2M in 2025 (Jan-Nov), up 54% YoY and approaching 2009 Great Recession levels, driven primarily by slower-than-expected revenue growth and cost management pressures. The article identifies seven warning signs of impending layoffs and emphasizes that companies use hiring freezes, limited backfills, and layoffs to manage people costs, which represent 70-80% of tech company budgets. CFOs should expect continued workforce reduction pressure in 2026 as boards push for cash efficiency and cost-to-revenue alignment.
Metrics in this report
75percent
average range
Software/tech companies (noted as 70-80% range)
260000employees
peak year
Technology sector
125000employees
YTD actual
Technology sector
1240000employees
historical benchmark
Great Recession baseline for comparison
2300000employees
historical benchmark
COVID pandemic peak layoff year
1200000employees
2025 Jan-Nov actual
U.S. total economy, all industries
54percent
2025 vs 2024
U.S. total economy