Drivers of Valuation: DCF Models vs. Revenue Multiples in SaaS
The article contrasts DCF valuation models with revenue multiple approaches for software companies, arguing that while DCF is theoretically superior, both methods require understanding the same underlying drivers of long-term cash generation. The author analyzes year-over-year revenue multiple shifts for public SaaS companies to illustrate how investor expectations about future growth and profitability drive valuation changes, using ZoomInfo and C3 as case studies of multiple compression and expansion.
Metrics in this report
5rank
best-in-class
ZoomInfo ranked #5 in FCF margins among public software companies despite multiple compression
7.1xmultiple
current
Public SaaS companies; C3 ranked 27th in October 2023, up 51 spots year-over-year
1.8xmultiple
historical
C3 revenue multiple in October 2022; one of lowest software revenue multiples at that time
14.1xmultiple
current
Public SaaS companies; Palantir ranked 4th in October 2023, up 26 spots year-over-year
8.4xmultiple
current
Public SaaS companies; Shopify ranked 20th in October 2023, up 38 spots year-over-year
6.0xmultiple
current
Public SaaS companies; ZoomInfo ranked 36th in October 2023, down 34 spots year-over-year from 2nd place
3%percent
actual
C3 actual revenue growth in October 2022; consensus had expected only 1%
17%percent
consensus
C3 consensus expectations for next 12 months revenue growth
57%percent
historical
ZoomInfo 2022 annual revenue growth
29%percent
historical
ZoomInfo 2023 year-to-date revenue growth
5%percent
consensus
ZoomInfo consensus estimates for next 12 months