cloudedjudgement.substack.com · 2025-08-08 · 300d

Clouded Judgement: Q2 2025 Cloud Software Earnings Season Analysis

Cloud software companies delivered their strongest earnings performance since Q2 2022, with median revenue beats of 2.8% and meaningful upward guidance revisions, though stock prices have declined 6-8% amid AI disruption concerns. The analysis provides detailed SaaS valuation multiples, operating metrics benchmarks, and cohort data showing median NRR of 108%, CAC payback of 40 months, and FCF margins of 18% across the industry.

18 metrics· Cited 0× in the knowledge base ·Open source ↗

Metrics in this report

CAC Payback Period

40months

median

Cloud software companies, subscription-derived metrics

EV/NTM Revenue Multiple

5.1x

median

Overall cloud software index, Q2 2025

EV/NTM Revenue Multiple

30.8x

median

Top 10 high-growth cloud software companies

EV/NTM Revenue Multiple

33.5x

median

High-growth SaaS (>25% NTM growth)

EV/NTM Revenue Multiple

8.1x

median

Mid-growth SaaS (15-25% NTM growth)

EV/NTM Revenue Multiple

3.9x

median

Low-growth SaaS (<15% NTM growth)

FCF Margin

18percent

median

Cloud software companies

G&A Expense

16percent

median

G&A as % of revenue, cloud software companies

Gross Margin

76percent

median

Cloud software companies

LTM Revenue Growth Rate

14percent

median

Cloud software companies, last 12 months actuals

NTM Revenue Growth Rate

11percent

median

Cloud software companies, forward 12-month guidance

Net Revenue Retention

108percent

median

Cloud software companies

Operating Margin

-4percent

median

Cloud software companies

R&D Expense

24percent

median

R&D as % of revenue, cloud software companies

Revenue Beat vs Consensus

2.8percent

median

Cloud SaaS companies, Q2 2025 earnings season

Sales & Marketing Expense

38percent

median

S&M as % of revenue, cloud software companies

Stock Price Performance

-8percent

median

Cloud software index, 30-day trailing performance

Stock Price Performance

-6percent

median

WCLD index, 30-day trailing performance