Clouded Judgement
SaaS company earnings in August 2020 revealed that despite massive revenue beats, stock prices declined or barely moved, indicating that inflated multiples and consensus estimate misses had already priced in expected growth. The article analyzes valuation multiples, operating metrics, and market dynamics across a cohort of high-growth SaaS companies, showing median EV/NTM revenue of 38.8x and revealing the disconnect between earnings performance and stock reaction.
Metrics in this report
29months
median
SaaS cohort August 2020
33.1xmultiple
median
SaaS companies with >30% projected NTM growth
8.6xmultiple
median
SaaS companies with <15% projected NTM growth
16.3xmultiple
median
SaaS companies with 15-30% projected NTM growth
14.0xmultiple
median
Broad SaaS cohort as of August 2020
38.8xmultiple
average
Top 10 highest-valued SaaS companies
5%percent
median
SaaS cohort August 2020
73%percent
median
SaaS cohort August 2020
30%percent
median
SaaS cohort August 2020
18%percent
median
SaaS cohort August 2020
117%percent
median
SaaS cohort August 2020
-15%percent
median
SaaS cohort August 2020