Clouded Judgement: Declining Growth in Public SaaS
SaaS median NTM growth rates have declined ~50% over two years from ~25% to ~12%, with zero companies now projected to grow >30% compared to eight a year ago. Revenue multiples remain the primary valuation framework for unprofitable software companies, with significant variation based on growth buckets (10.7x for high growth vs. 3.8x for low growth). Operating metrics reveal a median 110% net retention, 75% gross margin, and 53-month CAC payback, suggesting growing valuation pressure as growth deceleration continues.
Metrics in this report
53months
median
Public software companies
5.2multiple
median
Overall public software industry
16.3multiple
median
Top 5 valued public software companies
10.7multiple
median
Companies with projected NTM growth >27%
3.8multiple
median
Companies with projected NTM growth <15%
7.9multiple
median
Companies with projected NTM growth 15%-27%
14percent
median
Public software companies with positive FCF
15percent of revenue
median
Public software companies
75percent
median
Public software companies
17percent
median
Public software companies
12percent
median
Public software companies tracked in basket, July 2024
110percent
median
Public software companies
-10percent
median
Public software companies
25percent of revenue
median
Public software companies
40percent of revenue
median
Public software companies