Clouded Judgement: Q1 2023 Cloud Software Consumption Trends
Analysis of Q1 2023 earnings from six major cloud software consumption-driven companies (Mongo, Azure, Datadog, Confluent, AWS, Snowflake) reveals consumption headwinds have stabilized but not reversed, with mixed guidance changes and divergent trends between enterprise and SMB segments. MongoDB and Azure showed relative strength while AWS and Snowflake faced intensifying headwinds, particularly from larger customers reducing workloads and optimization efforts. SaaS valuations remain driven by revenue multiples with high-growth companies trading at 8.5x NTM revenue while low-growth companies trade at 3.3x, reflecting persistent growth-to-valuation correlation despite profitability challenges.
Metrics in this report
11percent
actual
Compared to 16% growth in Q1 2023
26-28percent
target
Q2 2023 guidance with 1% from AI services
57months
median
Public SaaS companies analyzed in cohort
3percent
median
Public SaaS companies analyzed in cohort
18percent
median
Public SaaS companies analyzed in cohort
24percent
median
Public SaaS companies analyzed in cohort
15percent
median
Public SaaS companies analyzed in cohort
115percent
median
Public SaaS companies analyzed in cohort
-21percent
median
Public SaaS companies analyzed in cohort
5.7multiple
median
Broad SaaS cohort analyzed
27percent
median
Public SaaS companies analyzed in cohort
75percent
median
Public SaaS companies analyzed in cohort
46percent
median
Public SaaS companies analyzed in cohort
34percent
target
Revised downward from prior guidance of 40% YoY
57percent
actual
YoY growth in Q1 2023; outpacing 50% revenue growth
15.6multiple
median
Highest valued SaaS companies by market cap