cloudedjudgement.substack.com · 2023-06-23 · 1077d

Clouded Judgement: Q1 2023 SaaS Earnings Trends and Valuation Multiple Analysis

Analysis of Q1 2023 SaaS earnings reveals accelerating growth deceleration, declining net retention driven by compressed expansion revenue, and deteriorating sales efficiency despite improving FCF margins. The article provides comprehensive SaaS valuation benchmarks and operating metrics across a cohort of public companies, with median EV/NTM revenue multiple of 6.0x and highlighting growth-to-valuation correlation patterns.

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Metrics in this report

EV/NTM Revenue Multiple - High Growth (>30%)

10.1x

median

High-growth SaaS companies

EV/NTM Revenue Multiple - Low Growth (<15%)

3.5x

median

Low-growth SaaS companies

EV/NTM Revenue Multiple - Mid Growth (15-30%)

8.5x

median

Mid-growth SaaS companies

EV/NTM Revenue Multiple - Overall Median

6.0x

median

Public SaaS companies

EV/NTM Revenue Multiple - Top 5

15.7x

median

Top 5 by market cap SaaS companies

Median CAC Payback

57months

median

Public SaaS companies, gross margin adjusted

Median FCF Margin

5percent

median

Public SaaS companies

Median G&A % Revenue

18percent

median

Public SaaS companies

Median Gross Margin

75percent

median

Public SaaS companies

Median Net Retention

115percent

median

Public SaaS companies, Q1 2023

Median Operating Margin

-20percent

median

Public SaaS companies

Median R&D % Revenue

27percent

median

Public SaaS companies

Median Revenue Growth (LTM)

24percent

median

Public SaaS companies, Q1 2023

Median Revenue Growth (NTM)

15percent

median

Public SaaS companies, Q1 2023

Median S&M % Revenue

46percent

median

Public SaaS companies