cloudedjudgement.substack.com · 2022-04-29 · 1497d

Clouded Judgement: Q1 GDP Recession Signals & SaaS Valuation Resilience

The article analyzes Q1 2022 negative GDP growth, arguing the underlying economic weakness is less severe than headline figures suggest, and examines how top SaaS companies demonstrate resilience to macroeconomic downturns through platform stickiness and deflationary economics. It provides comprehensive valuation multiples and operating metrics benchmarks for 10 leading SaaS companies, showing median EV/NTM revenue multiples of 24.2x with high growth correlation.

14 metrics· Cited 0× in the knowledge base ·Open source ↗

Metrics in this report

CAC Payback Period

23months

median

Top 10 SaaS companies by market cap, April 2022

EV / NTM Revenue Multiple (High Growth)

21.0x

median

SaaS companies with >30% projected NTM growth, April 2022

EV / NTM Revenue Multiple (Low Growth)

7.1x

median

SaaS companies with <15% projected NTM growth, April 2022

EV / NTM Revenue Multiple (Overall)

8.2x

median

All public SaaS companies, April 2022

EV / NTM Revenue Multiple (Top 5)

26.0x

median

Top 5 highest-valued SaaS companies by EV/NTM revenue, April 2022

G&A Expense Ratio

20percent

median

Top 10 SaaS companies by market cap, April 2022

LTM Revenue Growth Rate

34percent

median

Top 10 SaaS companies by market cap, April 2022

NTM Revenue Growth Rate

26percent

median

Top 10 SaaS companies by market cap, April 2022

Net Revenue Retention

120percent

median

Top 10 SaaS companies by market cap, April 2022

R&D Expense Ratio

26percent

median

Top 10 SaaS companies by market cap, April 2022

SaaS Free Cash Flow Margin

3percent

median

Top 10 SaaS companies by market cap, April 2022

SaaS Gross Margin

74percent

median

Top 10 SaaS companies by market cap, April 2022

SaaS Operating Margin

-23percent

median

Top 10 SaaS companies by market cap, April 2022

Sales & Marketing Expense Ratio

45percent

median

Top 10 SaaS companies by market cap, April 2022