cloudedjudgement.substack.com · 2022-02-18 · 1567d

Clouded Judgement

Market volatility in cloud software stocks is driven by multiple normalization following inflation concerns and geopolitical uncertainty, with companies facing harsh earnings assessments unless delivering exceptional results. High-growth SaaS multiples remain elevated at 27% above pre-COVID highs despite overall market compression, while operating metrics reveal wide variation in profitability across the sector. The article provides detailed valuation benchmarks and operating metrics for public SaaS companies, establishing frameworks for comparing growth-adjusted valuations across the cohort.

16 metrics· Cited 0× in the knowledge base ·Open source ↗

Metrics in this report

CAC Payback Period

24months

median

Public SaaS companies

EV/NTM Revenue Multiple

9.2xmultiple

median

Overall SaaS sector (as of Feb 2022)

EV/NTM Revenue Multiple

17.9xmultiple

median

High-growth SaaS (>30% projected NTM growth)

EV/NTM Revenue Multiple

8.5xmultiple

median

Mid-growth SaaS (15-30% projected NTM growth)

EV/NTM Revenue Multiple

3.5xmultiple

median

Low-growth SaaS (<15% projected NTM growth)

EV/NTM Revenue Multiple

33.5xmultiple

median

Top 5 highest-valued SaaS companies

EV/NTM Revenue Multiple

15%percent

target

Multiple compression vs. pre-COVID highs

Free Cash Flow Margin

3%percent

median

Public SaaS companies

G&A Expense

19%percent_of_revenue

median

Public SaaS companies

Gross Margin

75%percent

median

Public SaaS companies

LTM Revenue Growth Rate

34%percent

median

Public SaaS companies

NTM Revenue Growth Rate

26%percent

median

Public SaaS companies

Net Revenue Retention

119%percent

median

Public SaaS companies

Operating Margin

-19%percent

median

Public SaaS companies

R&D Expense

26%percent_of_revenue

median

Public SaaS companies

Sales & Marketing Expense

45%percent_of_revenue

median

Public SaaS companies