Clouded Judgement: Are Software Valuations Cheap or Expensive?
The article analyzes whether SaaS software companies are currently cheap or expensive by examining multiple valuation frameworks. While revenue multiples appear below historical averages, growth-adjusted revenue multiples are at all-time highs at 0.56x versus a long-term average of 0.2x, suggesting valuations are expensive relative to growth. The analysis reconciles this paradox by examining FCF multiples and business quality improvements, concluding that current valuations warrant nuanced interpretation depending on which metric anchors the assessment.
Metrics in this report
37months
median
SaaS companies overall
15percent
median
SaaS companies overall
37.7multiple
median
SaaS companies with positive FCF
40multiple
average
Long-term historical average for SaaS
17percent
median
SaaS companies overall
75percent
median
SaaS companies at scale
0.56multiple
median
Current SaaS market (as of December 2024)
0.20multiple
average
Long-term historical average for SaaS
14percent
median
SaaS companies overall
12percent
median
SaaS companies overall
108percent
median
SaaS companies overall
-7percent
median
SaaS companies overall
25percent
median
SaaS companies overall
6.4multiple
median
Overall SaaS market
40percent
median
SaaS companies overall