Clouded Judgement: The Irrational Equity Valuation Game in Startup Hiring
The article critiques the emerging practice of early-stage founders raising at increasingly high valuations primarily to offer larger nominal equity packages to attract talent, despite the fact that higher valuations increase dilution and reduce actual upside for employees. The author argues this behavior, while rationally motivated, mirrors 2021's hype cycle and will eventually collapse when companies fail to justify inflated paper valuations, leaving employees with worthless equity.
Metrics in this report
15.1x
median
Public SaaS companies with >22% projected NTM growth
35months
median
Public cloud SaaS companies
19percent
median
Public cloud SaaS companies
76percent
median
Public cloud SaaS companies
12percent
median
Public cloud SaaS companies
108percent
median
Public cloud SaaS companies
-2percent
median
Public cloud SaaS companies
23percent of revenue
median
Public cloud SaaS companies
37percent of revenue
median
Public cloud SaaS companies
4.8x
median
Public cloud SaaS companies