Clouded Judgement: The AI Platform Wars
The article argues that AI competition is shifting from model quality benchmarks to platform strategy, with Google, OpenAI, Anthropic, and Meta pursuing different approaches to build moats through distribution, integration, and ecosystem control. It includes detailed SaaS valuation multiples, operating metrics, and benchmarks for public cloud software companies, showing median valuations of 4.5x NTM revenue with significant variation by growth rate.
Metrics in this report
32months
median
Public SaaS companies
4.5multiple
median
Public SaaS companies overall
23.1multiple
median
Top 10 public SaaS companies by valuation
13.3multiple
median
High-growth SaaS (>22% projected NTM growth)
6.0multiple
median
Mid-growth SaaS (15-22% projected NTM growth)
3.4multiple
median
Low-growth SaaS (<15% projected NTM growth)
18percent
median
Public SaaS companies
15percent of revenue
median
Public SaaS companies
76percent
median
Public SaaS companies
14percent
median
Public SaaS companies
12percent
median
Public SaaS companies
108percent
median
Public SaaS companies
-2percent
median
Public SaaS companies
24percent of revenue
median
Public SaaS companies
37percent of revenue
median
Public SaaS companies