Clouded Judgement: Market Rotation from Profitability Back to Growth
Software companies have successfully achieved FCF profitability after a 2-year focus on efficiency, but median growth rates have declined significantly from 31% (2020) to 12% (current). Market valuation signals and leading indicators suggest a rotation back toward rewarding growth, driven by AI investment cycles and improving macro conditions, with the critical question being whether revenue growth will materialize to justify these investments.
Metrics in this report
38months
median
Public SaaS companies (GM-adjusted)
5.9x
median
Overall public SaaS market
19.0x
median
Top 5 SaaS companies by valuation
8.7x
median
High-growth SaaS (>27% NTM growth)
10.6x
median
Mid-growth SaaS (15-27% NTM growth)
4.7x
median
Low-growth SaaS (<15% NTM growth)
15percent
median
Public SaaS companies (LTM)
17percent of revenue
median
Public SaaS companies
76percent
median
Public SaaS companies
110percent
median
Public SaaS companies
-7percent
median
Public SaaS companies
25percent of revenue
median
Public SaaS companies
12percent
median
Public SaaS companies (NTM)
15percent
median
Public SaaS companies (LTM)
40percent of revenue
median
Public SaaS companies