Clouded Judgement: The Evolution of Benchmarks in AI and SaaS Valuation
The article argues that traditional AI model benchmarks are becoming obsolete as performance gaps narrow, paralleling Google's shift from index size to user experience. Simultaneously, benchmarks are evolving into domain-specific reward functions that train models rather than measure them. The piece concludes with comprehensive SaaS valuation data showing median 5.2x EV/NTM revenue multiple and median 108% net retention, with detailed operating metrics and Rule of 40 analysis across public cloud software companies.
Metrics in this report
32months
median
Public SaaS companies, gross margin-adjusted
5.2multiple
median
Overall public SaaS industry
26.8multiple
median
High-growth SaaS (>25% NTM growth)
7.7multiple
median
Mid-growth SaaS (15-25% NTM growth)
4.0multiple
median
Low-growth SaaS (<15% NTM growth)
25.7multiple
average
Top 10 highest-valued public SaaS companies
18percent
median
Public SaaS companies
15percent
median
Public SaaS companies
76percent
median
Public SaaS companies
12percent
median
Public SaaS companies
108percent
median
Public SaaS companies
-2percent
median
Public SaaS companies
24percent
median
Public SaaS companies
37percent
median
Public SaaS companies