Clouded Judgement: 2024 Budget Expectations & SaaS Valuation Multiples
This analysis examines CIO IT budget expectations for 2024, showing modest growth projections (3.4% vs historical 4%) with near-term caution offsetting long-term AI-driven optimism. The article provides comprehensive SaaS valuation multiples, operating metrics benchmarks, and Rule of 40 analysis across public cloud software companies, highlighting the disconnect between growth rates and revenue multiples.
Metrics in this report
35months
median
Public SaaS companies
0.5ratio
current
1-year outlook expectations Q3 2023
6.3ratio
forward
3-year outlook expectations Q3 2023
12.3x
median
SaaS companies with >30% projected NTM growth
3.7x
median
SaaS companies with <15% projected NTM growth
8.5x
median
SaaS companies with 15-30% projected NTM growth
7percent
median
Public SaaS companies
16percent of revenue
median
Public SaaS companies
75percent
median
Public SaaS companies
3.4percent
expected
2024 CIO expectations per Morgan Stanley survey
4.0percent
average
Historical long-term annual IT budget growth
114percent
median
Public SaaS companies
-17percent
median
Public SaaS companies
27percent of revenue
median
Public SaaS companies
5.5x
median
Overall SaaS EV/NTM revenue October 2023
13.2x
average
Top 10 SaaS companies EV/NTM revenue
42percent of revenue
median
Public SaaS companies