onlycfo.io · 2024-05-15
· 750d
Blinded by Metrics: How Financial Metrics Can Deceive Investors and Operators
The article warns that financial metrics can mask operational problems and hide unprofitable business models, using WeWork's infamous 'Community Adjusted EBITDA' as a cautionary example. It examines how compound metrics like Rule of 40 and Rule of X can obscure broken companies unlikely to achieve sustainable profitability, and argues that investors and operators must understand the durability of FCF margin potential rather than relying on growth-centric valuations.
Metrics in this report
Expected Revenue Growth
10.0percent
actual
Fastly (from high growth IPO in 2021)
FCF Margin
20.0percent
target
Software companies at scale (aspirational)
FCF Margin
1.0percent
actual
Fastly current expected margin
Gross Margin
75.0percent
target
Software companies historically expected at scale
Rule of 40 Score
39.0points
median
Cloud companies with >25% NTM revenue growth
Rule of 40 Score
32.0points
median
All cloud companies