cloudedjudgement.substack.com · 2020-08-25 · 2109d

Asana: Benchmarking the S-1 Data

This article analyzes Asana's S-1 filing ahead of its direct listing, benchmarking its financial metrics against public SaaS peers across revenue, growth, profitability, and unit economics. The author predicts Asana will trade at a 25-30x NTM revenue multiple despite weak profitability, citing strong growth rates and gross margin-adjusted CAC payback of 24 months. The analysis highlights tensions between Asana's impressive growth and expansion metrics versus its significant unprofitability and decelerating revenue growth in the pre-IPO period.

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Metrics in this report

Addressable Information Workers

1.25billions

Global information workers (Forrester Research, September 2019)

CAC Payback Period

24months

above median

Asana vs. SaaS universe

LTM Revenue

12millions USD

Asana at IPO filing (August 2020)

Market Penetration

3percent

less than

Asana penetration among addressable employees in existing customer base

Predicted NTM Revenue Multiple

25-30x

Asana predicted first-day trading multiple (vs. 20-25x fundamental range)

Predicted Valuation

7billions USD

Asana predicted first-day trading valuation

Work Management Market Size

23billions USD

Collaborative applications and project/portfolio management in 2020 (IDC report)

Work Management Market Size

32billions USD

Collaborative applications and project/portfolio management in 2023 (IDC forecast)