cloudedjudgement.substack.com · 2023-09-12 · 996d

Clouded Judgement: A Look Back at Q2 '23 Public Cloud Software Earnings

Jamin Ball analyzes Q2 2023 earnings results for 62 public cloud software companies, finding that macro pressures are stabilizing rather than worsening, with green shoots appearing in new bookings and gross churn metrics. The article establishes a framework for evaluating SaaS business performance across six key metrics: revenue consensus beats, guidance raises, YoY growth, FCF margin, net revenue retention, and CAC payback, providing benchmarks for private company founders to aspire toward.

9 metrics· Cited 0× in the knowledge base ·Open source ↗

Metrics in this report

Companies Guiding Above Consensus

56percent

median

Cloud software companies, Q2 2023

Consensus Revenue Estimate Beat

2.2percent

median

Cloud software companies, Q2 2023

Consensus Revenue Estimate Beat

4percent

median

Cloud software companies, historical average

Gross Margin Adjusted CAC Payback

12months

best-in-class

All SaaS companies

Gross Margin Adjusted CAC Payback

24months

good

All SaaS companies (maximum threshold)

Median Net New ARR Added Per Quarter

17million dollars

median

Cloud software companies, Q1 2023 (trough)

Net Revenue Retention

130percent

best-in-class

Enterprise SaaS companies

Net Revenue Retention

115percent

good

Enterprise SaaS companies (minimum threshold)

Net Revenue Retention

120percent

best-in-class

SMB-focused SaaS companies