cloudedjudgement.substack.com · 2024-06-19 · 715d

Clouded Judgement: Q1 2024 Public Cloud Software Earnings Analysis

Analysis of Q1 2024 earnings for 62 public cloud software companies reveals a weak quarter driven by buyer caution around AI disruption, with hyperscalers (Azure, AWS, GCP) outperforming and median consensus beats declining to 1.5% from historical 4%. The author benchmarks key SaaS metrics including net revenue retention (>130% best-in-class), CAC payback (<12 months optimal), and FCF margins to provide a framework for evaluating business health.

9 metrics· Cited 0× in the knowledge base ·Open source ↗

Metrics in this report

Companies Guiding Above Consensus

47percent

Q1 2024

62-company public cloud software cohort

Gross Margin Adjusted CAC Payback

12months

best-in-class

Private SaaS companies

Gross Margin Adjusted CAC Payback

24months

good

Private SaaS companies

Guidance Raise vs Consensus

2percent

median

Historical baseline for SaaS guidance

Net Revenue Retention

130percent

best-in-class

Enterprise/mid-market SaaS companies

Net Revenue Retention

115percent

good

Enterprise/mid-market SaaS companies

Net Revenue Retention

120percent

best-in-class

SMB-focused SaaS companies

Revenue Beat vs Consensus

1.5percent

median

Q1 2024 public cloud software companies (62-company cohort)

Revenue Beat vs Consensus

4percent

median

Historical baseline for public SaaS companies