Musings on Markets · 2025-03-15 · 446d

Globalization Backlash and Government Disruption: Market Implications for Company Valuation

An analysis of two macro forces reshaping markets: globalization's four-decade rise and subsequent backlash, and technology-driven disruption now entering the political arena. The author examines winners (China, consumers, global institutions, financial markets) and losers (Japan, Europe, displaced workers) from globalization, using classroom observations and economic data to understand current market dynamics without partisan bias.

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Metrics in this report

China Economic Growth Contribution

38%

median

of global GDP growth 2010-2023

China GDP Share

10x increasemultiple

growth factor

between 1980 and 2023

Europe GDP Share

25.69 to 14.86% of global GDP

decline

1990 to 2023

Japan GDP Share

17.8 to 3.96% of global GDP

decline

1995 to 2023