Kellblog · 2026-01-22
· 133d
Annual Predictions and Review: 2025 Retrospective and 2026 Outlook
Dave Kellogg reviews his 2025 predictions (scoring 6-7 hits out of 10) and presents his twelfth annual predictions post. Key themes include the continued startup ecosystem consolidation, AI's transformation of web discovery and content economics, tech billionaires' political alignment around favorable regulatory environments, and the shift from information scarcity to attention scarcity in digital markets.
Metrics in this report
M&A Deal Count
1992-2152count
annual
venture deals 2024-2025
M&A Deal Count Growth
8%%
year-over-year
2024 to 2025
M&A Dollar Value
253-420$B
annual
2024-2025 venture M&A
M&A Volume Growth
66%%
year-over-year
2024 to 2025
Startup Shutdowns
769-966-1050count
annual trend
US startups 2023-2025