Kellblog · 2019-04-01
· 2621d
SaaS Market Valuation Analysis: Is Another Market Correction Imminent?
Dave Kellogg analyzes whether SaaS stocks face another significant correction by examining enterprise value to forward sales multiples. While SaaS stocks have appreciated 342-385% since 2016, current multiples are only 18% above historical medians, suggesting valuations are less frothy than price appreciation alone would indicate, though downside risks remain from growth deceleration.
Metrics in this report
Bessemer Emerging Cloud Index Appreciation
385%
over 3 years 2 months
SaaS market index
Rule of 40 R-squared
0.32coefficient
current
Performance prediction accuracy
S&P 500 P/E Ratio
21multiple
current as of April 2019
Broad market valuation
SaaS EV/NTM-Sales Multiple - Current Average
8.25multiple
mean
SaaS sector as of April 2019
SaaS EV/NTM-Sales Multiple - Historical High
10multiple
maximum
April 2014
SaaS EV/NTM-Sales Multiple - Historical Low
4multiple
minimum
January 2016
SaaS EV/NTM-Sales Multiple - Median Historical
7multiple
median
SaaS sector
SaaS Revenue Growth Range
25-30%
estimated average
SaaS coverage universe
Workday Stock Price Appreciation
342%
over 3 years 2 months
Individual SaaS stock