Tomasz Tunguz Blog · 2025-03-09
· 452d
Valuing Venture Capital Firms: A $5.5B Unicorn Analysis
Tomasz Tunguz analyzes the venture capital industry through the lens of private equity firm valuations, drawing parallels between PE's evolution and VC's trajectory. He develops a linear regression model based on PE multiples to estimate that a $50B AUM venture firm could be worth at least $5.5B upon going public, suggesting VC will increasingly professionalize and diversify into multiple product lines.
Metrics in this report
Apollo Global Management Market Cap
76$B
current
publicly traded PE firm
Ares Management Market Cap
49$B
current
publicly traded PE firm
Blackstone Dividend Yield
3.12%
current
publicly traded PE firm
Blackstone Market Cap
177$B
current
publicly traded PE firm
Carlyle Group Market Cap
16$B
current
publicly traded PE firm
Hypothetical Venture Firm Valuation
5.5$B
minimum
$50B AUM, 15% ROE, 2% management fees
KKR Market Cap
102$B
current
publicly traded PE firm
TPG Market Cap
18$B
current
publicly traded PE firm
VC Management Fee Multiple vs PE
2xratio
average
VC vs publicly traded PE firms