Tomasz Tunguz Blog · 2025-03-09 · 452d

Valuing Venture Capital Firms: A $5.5B Unicorn Analysis

Tomasz Tunguz analyzes the venture capital industry through the lens of private equity firm valuations, drawing parallels between PE's evolution and VC's trajectory. He develops a linear regression model based on PE multiples to estimate that a $50B AUM venture firm could be worth at least $5.5B upon going public, suggesting VC will increasingly professionalize and diversify into multiple product lines.

9 metrics· Cited 0× in the knowledge base ·Open source ↗

Metrics in this report

Apollo Global Management Market Cap

76$B

current

publicly traded PE firm

Ares Management Market Cap

49$B

current

publicly traded PE firm

Blackstone Dividend Yield

3.12%

current

publicly traded PE firm

Blackstone Market Cap

177$B

current

publicly traded PE firm

Carlyle Group Market Cap

16$B

current

publicly traded PE firm

Hypothetical Venture Firm Valuation

5.5$B

minimum

$50B AUM, 15% ROE, 2% management fees

KKR Market Cap

102$B

current

publicly traded PE firm

TPG Market Cap

18$B

current

publicly traded PE firm

VC Management Fee Multiple vs PE

2xratio

average

VC vs publicly traded PE firms