Tomasz Tunguz Blog · 2023-05-22
· 1109d
Why SaaS Valuation Multiples Won't Recover Despite Top Stocks' Surge
While top-tier SaaS companies like MongoDB, Snowflake, and DataDog have seen forward multiples surge 42-112% since early 2023, this rally is concentrated among only the top 5 growth stocks and hasn't exceeded 2017 median levels. Despite weak earnings reports and cautious outlooks across the sector, the author argues that without broad-based public market multiple expansion, private market valuations will remain depressed.
Metrics in this report
Forward Valuation Multiple Increase
42-112%
range
Top 5 SaaS stocks (MongoDB, Snowflake, DataDog, Cloudflare, ServiceNow) year-to-date 2023
Interest Rate Cut Expectation
1.0-1.25%
range
Bond market pricing for next 24 months
SaaS Cohort Multiple Level
2017median baseline year
median
Top quartile SaaS stocks valuation level