Tomasz Tunguz Blog · 2022-09-15 · 1358d

Adobe's $20B Figma Acquisition at 50x ARR: Implications for Startup Valuation in a Corrected Market

Adobe's acquisition of Figma at $20B (50x ARR multiple) represents the highest valuation multiple for a software company of scale, but according to VC Tomasz Tunguz, this single transaction is unlikely to reset market pricing given broader macroeconomic headwinds and depressed public market multiples. The analysis explores whether this acquisition signals a recovery in startup valuations or remains an outlier in a fundamentally changed fundraising environment.

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Metrics in this report

2022 Market Correction

70%

approximate

Year-to-date decline in software company valuations

AppDynamics Acquisition Multiple

17x

actual

Cisco acquisition of AppDynamics in 2017 on trailing revenue

Figma Acquisition Multiple (ARR)

50x

actual

Adobe acquisition price relative to Figma current ARR

Figma Acquisition Multiple (Revenue)

75x

estimated

Adobe acquisition price relative to Figma trailing revenue (at 2/3 ARR recognition rate)

Figma Acquisition Price

20$B

actual

Total acquisition price announced by Adobe

Pre-correction SaaS ARR Multiple

100x

typical range

High-growth startups before 2022 market correction

Public SaaS Trading Multiple

5.6x

median

Median public company multiple in 2022

US Software M&A 2021

71$B

actual

Prior year venture-backed software M&A

US Software M&A 2022

7$B

annualized run rate

Venture-backed software M&A tracking