Tomasz Tunguz (Theory Ventures) · 2022-08-30 · 1374d

Web3 Companies Converging to Web2 Valuation Multiples Across Categories

Analysis of top 100 public Web3 projects reveals that certain categories (NFT Marketplaces, DEXs, lenders, yield aggregators) are increasingly trading at valuation multiples comparable to Web2 counterparts, with revenue growth now correlating to market multiples similarly to traditional software companies. L1 blockchains remain outliers with thousand-fold multiples, reflecting investor expectations for massive ecosystem growth. This convergence suggests Web3 is maturing and will likely shift focus toward revenue metrics as a primary valuation driver.

9 metrics· Cited 0× in the knowledge base ·Open source ↗

Metrics in this report

DEXs Trailing Revenue Multiple - Web3

11.9x

median

21 DEXs in top 100 Web3 projects

Exchanges Trailing Revenue Multiple - Web2

8.7x

median

ICE, Nasdaq, LSE, CME basket

L1 Blockchain Multiples

thousandsx

approximate

top 100 Web3 projects

Marketplaces Trailing Revenue Multiple - Web2

3.3x

median

Etsy, eBay, Fiverr, Udemy basket

NFT Marketplaces Trailing Revenue Multiple - Web3

3.9x

median

top 100 Web3 projects by revenue

Non-L1 Category Multiple Range

3-9x

bounded range

Marketplaces, DEXs, Lenders, Yield Aggregators

Revenue Multiple Correlation - NFT Marketplaces

0.54correlation coefficient

two weeks prior to article date

top 100 Web3 projects by revenue

Revenue Multiple Correlation - Web2 Software

0.61correlation coefficient

two weeks prior to article date

public software companies

Revenue Multiple Correlation - Yield Aggregators

0.49correlation coefficient

two weeks prior to article date

top 100 Web3 projects by revenue