Tomasz Tunguz Blog · 2023-09-21 · 987d

Cisco's $28B Splunk Acquisition Signals Continued SaaS Take-Private Trend

Cisco announced a $28B acquisition of Splunk at a 30% premium, continuing a trend of SaaS take-privates including New Relic, Qualtrics, and Software AG. Splunk demonstrates strong fundamentals with $3.64B revenue growing at 37%, 77.7% gross margins, and top-quartile sales efficiency, though trading at a 4.2x forward multiple below market comparables.

12 metrics· Cited 0× in the knowledge base ·Open source ↗

Metrics in this report

Acquisition Price

28$B

announced

Cisco-Splunk deal

Annual Revenue

3.64$B

actual

Splunk FY2023

Gross Margin

77.7%

actual

Splunk

Gross Margin vs Median

6percentage points

above median

Public software companies

Net Income Margin

-7.6%

actual

Splunk

Operating Cash Flow Margin

12.2%

actual

Splunk

Post-M&A Implied Forward Multiple

5.7x

implied

Splunk $28B acquisition

Pre-M&A Forward Revenue Multiple

4.2x

actual

Splunk public trading

Predicted Forward Multiple

7.5x

model-based

Market comparables

Premium to Closing Price

30%

actual

Cisco-Splunk deal

Revenue Growth Rate

37%

actual

Splunk YoY

Sales Efficiency Ratio

0.60ratio

actual

Splunk