Tomasz Tunguz Blog · 2023-09-21
· 987d
Cisco's $28B Splunk Acquisition Signals Continued SaaS Take-Private Trend
Cisco announced a $28B acquisition of Splunk at a 30% premium, continuing a trend of SaaS take-privates including New Relic, Qualtrics, and Software AG. Splunk demonstrates strong fundamentals with $3.64B revenue growing at 37%, 77.7% gross margins, and top-quartile sales efficiency, though trading at a 4.2x forward multiple below market comparables.
Metrics in this report
Acquisition Price
28$B
announced
Cisco-Splunk deal
Annual Revenue
3.64$B
actual
Splunk FY2023
Gross Margin
77.7%
actual
Splunk
Gross Margin vs Median
6percentage points
above median
Public software companies
Net Income Margin
-7.6%
actual
Splunk
Operating Cash Flow Margin
12.2%
actual
Splunk
Post-M&A Implied Forward Multiple
5.7x
implied
Splunk $28B acquisition
Pre-M&A Forward Revenue Multiple
4.2x
actual
Splunk public trading
Predicted Forward Multiple
7.5x
model-based
Market comparables
Premium to Closing Price
30%
actual
Cisco-Splunk deal
Revenue Growth Rate
37%
actual
Splunk YoY
Sales Efficiency Ratio
0.60ratio
actual
Splunk