Battery Ventures · 2024-11-01 · 580d

Battery Ventures State of OpenCloud Report 2024

Battery Ventures analyzes AI as the next major platform shift driving cloud infrastructure growth, with data center revenue accelerating from $4B in Q3'22 to $26B in Q2'24. Enterprise adoption is moving from experimentation to production, with cloud providers aggressively expanding capacity to capture an estimated $2T+ in incremental cumulative revenue by 2030. The report projects cloud giants' AI-driven annual recurring revenue (ARR) to grow from $45B in 2024 to $550B by 2030.

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Metrics in this report

AWS Revenue Growth

74 to 110$ Billions

quarterly

Q1'22 to Q3'24

Azure Revenue Growth

32 to 66$ Billions

quarterly

Q1'22 to Q3'24

Cloud Giants Total ARR Projection

1280$ Billions

2030E

AWS, Azure, GCP combined

Cloud Index Performance

-4%

YTD

2024 returns

Cloud Provider CapEx Y/Y Growth

64%

Q2'24

AWS, Azure, GCP combined

Cloud Provider Net New Revenue Growth

76%

Q2'24 Y/Y

AWS, Azure, GCP combined

Data Center Revenue Growth

4 to 26$ Billions

quarterly

Q3'22 to Q2'24 period

Enterprise AI Deployment Expectation

96%

by Q4 2025

Generative AI adoption rate

Google Cloud Revenue Growth

23 to 45$ Billions

quarterly

Q1'22 to Q3'24

Incremental AI ARR CAGR

44%

5-year

2024-2029 forecast

Large Cap AI vs S&P 500 Performance

230 vs 81%

cumulative

Jan-20 to Oct-24

NVIDIA Stock Performance

168%

YTD

2024 returns

Palantir Stock Performance

142%

YTD

2024 returns