tomtunguz.com · 2026-04-13 · 52d

The Beginning of Scarcity in AI

GPU compute capacity for AI infrastructure has become scarce, with Nvidia Blackwell rental prices rising 48% in two months and CoreWeave extending minimum contracts to three years, forcing companies to make strategic tradeoffs on AI investments. Access to state-of-the-art models is increasingly gated by relationship, capital, and willingness to pay premium prices, creating a competitive disadvantage for startups and smaller companies. This scarcity will drive forced diversification toward smaller models and on-premise deployments while procurement and cost management become critical competitive disciplines.

4 metrics· Cited 0× in the knowledge base ·Open source ↗

Metrics in this report

CoreWeave Minimum Contract Length

3years

Extended from one year to three years minimum contract requirement

CoreWeave Price Increase

20percent

Price increase by GPU infrastructure provider CoreWeave

GPU Rental Price (Nvidia Blackwell)

4.08USD per hour

Current market price as of April 2026

GPU Rental Price Growth

48percent

Increase in Blackwell rental prices over two months (from $2.75 to $4.08 per hour)