Tomasz Tunguz Blog · 2026-05-07 · 28d

Why Anthropic Trades at a 65% Valuation Discount Despite 3x Faster Growth Than Palantir

Anthropic's $30B valuation commands a 65% discount to Palantir's EV/NTM multiple (17x vs 49x) despite growing 165% versus Palantir's 62%. Four factors explain this gap: massive capital intensity from GPU infrastructure costs, uncertain path to profitability, volatile revenue growth, and regulatory risks in AI.

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Metrics in this report

Anthropic EV/NTM Multiple

17x

current

revenue multiple

Anthropic NTM Revenue Growth

165%

forward projection

Anthropic vs peers

Anthropic Projected 2026 Exit Run Rate

80$B

estimate

revenue projection

Anthropic Valuation Growth Rate

1B to 30B$

15 months

valuation trajectory

Cloudflare EV/NTM Multiple

23x

current

revenue multiple

Cloudflare NTM Revenue Growth

29%

forward projection

comparable company

GPU Share of AI Datacenter Capex

60-65%

range

hyperscaler capital allocation

Palantir EV/NTM Multiple

49x

current

revenue multiple

Palantir NTM Revenue Growth

62%

forward projection

comparable company

Valuation Discount vs Palantir

65%

discount magnitude

Anthropic vs Palantir