Tomasz Tunguz Blog · 2026-05-07
· 28d
Why Anthropic Trades at a 65% Valuation Discount Despite 3x Faster Growth Than Palantir
Anthropic's $30B valuation commands a 65% discount to Palantir's EV/NTM multiple (17x vs 49x) despite growing 165% versus Palantir's 62%. Four factors explain this gap: massive capital intensity from GPU infrastructure costs, uncertain path to profitability, volatile revenue growth, and regulatory risks in AI.
Metrics in this report
Anthropic EV/NTM Multiple
17x
current
revenue multiple
Anthropic NTM Revenue Growth
165%
forward projection
Anthropic vs peers
Anthropic Projected 2026 Exit Run Rate
80$B
estimate
revenue projection
Anthropic Valuation Growth Rate
1B to 30B$
15 months
valuation trajectory
Cloudflare EV/NTM Multiple
23x
current
revenue multiple
Cloudflare NTM Revenue Growth
29%
forward projection
comparable company
GPU Share of AI Datacenter Capex
60-65%
range
hyperscaler capital allocation
Palantir EV/NTM Multiple
49x
current
revenue multiple
Palantir NTM Revenue Growth
62%
forward projection
comparable company
Valuation Discount vs Palantir
65%
discount magnitude
Anthropic vs Palantir