tomtunguz.com · 2018-12-18
· 2725d
Predictions for 2019
Venture capitalist Tomasz Tunguz forecasts that 2019 will see a meaningful slowdown in M&A (especially mega-deals), continued strength in the IPO market with SaaS multiples remaining elevated at 8x forward revenue, and emerging opportunities in blockchain, cloud incumbents, and data engineering. The article reviews his 2018 predictions with mixed results, noting correct calls on M&A activity and open-source disruption, but misses on blockchain enterprise adoption and opinionated software stacks.
Metrics in this report
M&A Multiples Premium
2x multiple increase
recent
2018 M&A multiples relative to recent years
SaaS Revenue Multiple (Forward)
8x forward revenue
current
SaaS companies as of December 2018
SaaS Revenue Multiple vs. Historical
45percent above average
premium
SaaS forward multiples relative to historical averages
Software M&A Volume
100billion USD
near
2018 software M&A volume, 3x higher than prior seven-year average