aswathdamodaran.blogspot.com · 2023-07-25 · 1045d

Country Risk: A July 2023 Update

This article provides a comprehensive framework for assessing country risk across multiple dimensions including democracy, violence, corruption, and legal protection, then translates these into measurable equity risk premiums for use in company valuation and investment hurdle rates. The author argues that companies should assess risk based on operational exposure (where they produce and sell) rather than incorporation jurisdiction, and provides detailed guidance on currency treatment and risk premium calculation across 180+ countries.

6 metrics· Cited 0× in the knowledge base ·Open source ↗

Metrics in this report

Egypt Expected Inflation

13.50%percent

IMF estimate for 2023-28 period

Egypt Riskfree Rate in Local Currency

14.38%percent

Egyptian pounds, derived from USD T-bond rate and inflation differential

Equity to Bond Volatility Ratio

1.42ratio

S&P Emerging BMI to iShares JPM USD Emerging Markets Bond ETF, July 2023

India Equity Risk Premium

8.33%percent

Based on sovereign rating Baa3 and default spread of 2.35%, July 2023

US Equity Risk Premium

5.00%percent

S&P 500, July 2023

US Treasury Bond Rate

3.80%percent

Risk-free rate benchmark, July 2023