aswathdamodaran.blogspot.com · 2023-02-04 · 1216d

Control, Complexity and Politics: Deconstructing the Adani Affair

This article analyzes the Adani Group's controversial rise to prominence in Indian markets, examining the company's heavy debt dependence, declining return on invested capital, and structural weaknesses that enabled the Hindenburg short-seller report. The author argues that Adani's vulnerabilities reflect broader systemic issues in Indian capital markets including family control dynamics, momentum-driven pricing, regulatory gaps, and interconnected banking relationships rather than a straightforward fraud scheme.

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Metrics in this report

DCF Valuation Per Share

945Indian Rupees

Adani Enterprises with upbeat assumptions, February 2023

Enterprise Value to EBITDA (Peak)

53times

Adani Enterprises, 2021-2022

Enterprise Value to Revenue (Peak)

2.71times

Adani Enterprises, 2021-2022

Family Ownership Stake

73percent

Consolidated Adani Group companies

PE Ratio (Peak)

214times

Adani Enterprises, 2021-2022

Peak Stock Price Per Share

3858Indian Rupees

Adani Enterprises, start of 2023

Price to Book (Peak)

6.7times

Adani Enterprises, 2021-2022

Return on Invested Capital

3percent

Adani Enterprises, 2021-2022