aswathdamodaran.blogspot.com · 2022-10-25 · 1318d

Earnings and Cash Flows: A Primer on Free Cash Flow

This article provides a comprehensive primer on free cash flow (FCF), distinguishing between free cash flow to equity (FCFE) and free cash flow to the firm (FCFF), and explaining how each should be calculated and applied in different contexts. The author demonstrates that FCF calculations vary significantly depending on whether the goal is explaining past performance, conducting intrinsic valuation, or pricing companies, and illustrates these concepts using Microsoft as a detailed case study. The article concludes that while FCF is conceptually superior to earnings for understanding business health, it is too volatile to be practical as a pricing multiple compared to traditional PE ratios or EV/EBITDA.

6 metrics· Cited 0× in the knowledge base ·Open source ↗

Metrics in this report

Microsoft Non-Cash Working Capital as Percent of Revenue (Historical Average)

-10.18percent

average

Microsoft 2012-2021 period; used for base-year normalization

Microsoft Stock-Based Acquisition (Nuance Communications)

19.76billion USD

2021 fiscal year; illustrative all-stock transaction treatment

Percent of Global Publicly Traded Firms with Calculable EV/FCFF Multiple

45percent

Global sample; excludes firms with negative FCFF

Percent of Global Publicly Traded Firms with Calculable Price-to-FCF Ratio

37percent

Global sample; excludes firms with negative FCFE

Percent of Youngest Companies (Bottom Decile) with Negative FCF

75percent

US companies in lowest age decile; reflects early life cycle stage

Percent of Youngest Companies with Negative Net Income

73percent

US companies in lowest age decile