aswathdamodaran.blogspot.com · 2022-07-01 · 1434d

Musings on Markets: Risk Capital and Markets—A Temporary Retreat or Long Term Pull Back?

The article analyzes the 2022 market downturn through the lens of risk capital availability, arguing that inflation-driven pullback in risk capital explains declining equity prices, widening risk premiums, and underperformance of high-growth, unprofitable companies. The author contends this pullback is likely structural rather than temporary, and reflects a necessary correction after a decade of easy capital allocation that has distorted markets.

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Metrics in this report

Equity Risk Premium (S&P 500)

6.01percent

June 23, 2022; up from 4.24% on January 1, 2022

Expected Annual Equity Return (S&P 500)

9.03percent

June 2022; up from 5.75% at start of 2022

High-Yield Bond Issuances as Percentage of Total

25percent

2021 all-time high

Unicorn Exits (>$1B valuation)

43count

2021

Venture Capital Raised (US)

131billion USD

2021 all-time high; surpassed 2000 dot-com boom level