aswathdamodaran.blogspot.com · 2022-07-01
· 1434d
Musings on Markets: Risk Capital and Markets—A Temporary Retreat or Long Term Pull Back?
The article analyzes the 2022 market downturn through the lens of risk capital availability, arguing that inflation-driven pullback in risk capital explains declining equity prices, widening risk premiums, and underperformance of high-growth, unprofitable companies. The author contends this pullback is likely structural rather than temporary, and reflects a necessary correction after a decade of easy capital allocation that has distorted markets.
Metrics in this report
Equity Risk Premium (S&P 500)
6.01percent
June 23, 2022; up from 4.24% on January 1, 2022
Expected Annual Equity Return (S&P 500)
9.03percent
June 2022; up from 5.75% at start of 2022
High-Yield Bond Issuances as Percentage of Total
25percent
2021 all-time high
Unicorn Exits (>$1B valuation)
43count
2021
Venture Capital Raised (US)
131billion USD
2021 all-time high; surpassed 2000 dot-com boom level