aswathdamodaran.blogspot.com · 2022-07-13 · 1422d

Country Risk: A 2022 Mid-year Update

This article analyzes how country risk varies across geographies based on political structure, violence exposure, corruption, and legal protections, examining the impact of geopolitical events like Russia's invasion of Ukraine on equity risk premiums and corporate costs of capital. The author demonstrates how country risk affects sovereign default spreads, currency risk-free rates, and ultimately the discount rates used in corporate valuation, with median global costs of capital rising significantly from 6.37% to 9.70% in the first half of 2022.

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Metrics in this report

Global Median Cost of Capital

6.37percent

January 2022

Global Median Cost of Capital

9.70percent

July 1, 2022

US Implied Equity Risk Premium

6.01percent

June 30, 2022; up from 4.24% on January 1, 2022

US Median Cost of Capital

5.77percent

January 2022

US Median Cost of Capital

8.97percent

July 1, 2022

US Ten-Year Treasury Rate

1.51percent

January 1, 2022

US Ten-Year Treasury Rate

3.02percent

June 30, 2022

World Population Under Full Democracy

6.4percent

2021