aswathdamodaran.blogspot.com · 2022-04-21 · 1505d

Musings on Markets: Elon's Twitter Play: Valuation and Corporate Governance Consequences

This article analyzes Elon Musk's bid to acquire Twitter through the lens of company valuation, corporate governance, and market dynamics. The author values Twitter at approximately $46 per share under status quo management (below Musk's $54.20 offer) and explores competing narratives about the company's potential, discussing four possible outcomes and the politicization of the acquisition debate.

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Metrics in this report

Daily Active Users

192 millionusers

Twitter 2021

Operating Margin

19.02%percent

Twitter 2021 actual results

Operating Margin

25%percent

target

Twitter 2033 forecast in status quo valuation scenario

Revenue

5.1billion USD

Twitter 2021 actual

Revenue

12.7billion USD

forecast

Twitter 2033 in valuation model

Stock Price

45USD per share

median valuation

Twitter April 2022 status quo valuation

Stock Price

54.20USD per share

acquisition offer

Elon Musk's bid price