aswathdamodaran.blogspot.com · 2021-11-09 · 1668d

Musings on Markets: Tesla's Trillion Dollar Moment - A Valuation Revisit

Damodaran provides a comprehensive DCF valuation of Tesla as it crosses a $1 trillion market capitalization, concluding the stock is overvalued at ~$571 per share versus the current market price. He argues Tesla's value derives primarily from automotive revenues and profitability potential rather than speculative narratives, while acknowledging the stock trades on momentum rather than fundamentals.

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Metrics in this report

Cost of Capital

5.90percent

Median firm November 2021

Equity Risk Premium

4.62percent

Mature markets November 2021

Gross Margin

30percent

Tesla last twelve months (TTM) as of November 2021

Market Capitalization

1trillion USD

Tesla November 2021 milestone

Market Capitalization

2.8billion USD

Tesla August 2010 IPO

Operating Margin

15percent

Tesla Q3 2021; automotive manufacturing

Quarterly Revenue

14billion USD

Tesla Q3 2021

Revenue Market Share

16.7percent

Tesla $414B 2032 projected revenues relative to $2.33T global auto industry 2020-21

Risk-Free Rate

1.56percent

US Treasury yield November 2021