aswathdamodaran.blogspot.com · 2020-02-27 · 2289d

Data Update 5: Relative Risk and Hurdle Rates

This article examines multiple approaches to measuring relative risk across companies (betas, standard deviation, high-low price ranges, and earnings variability) and demonstrates how to convert these risk measures into hurdle rates—specifically costs of equity, debt, and capital—for valuation purposes. The author provides empirical data on the distribution of these metrics across global regions and industries as of January 2020, emphasizing that DCF valuation does not require beta specifically and offering alternative risk measures for practitioners who distrust market-based approaches.

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Metrics in this report

Beta Distribution

0.85-1.45multiple

median

Public companies globally at start of 2020

Cost of Capital

7.58%percent

median

All publicly traded companies globally, start of 2020

Cost of Capital - European Stable Business 25th Percentile

6.02%percent

percentile

Slow-growing European mature companies (e.g., Heineken)

Cost of Equity - US 90th Percentile

9.15%percent

percentile

Young, money-losing US public companies (e.g., Casper)

US Stock Price Volatility (Standard Deviation)

42.36%percent

average

US equities, 2-year annualized returns