Data Update 5: Relative Risk and Hurdle Rates
This article examines multiple approaches to measuring relative risk across companies (betas, standard deviation, high-low price ranges, and earnings variability) and demonstrates how to convert these risk measures into hurdle rates—specifically costs of equity, debt, and capital—for valuation purposes. The author provides empirical data on the distribution of these metrics across global regions and industries as of January 2020, emphasizing that DCF valuation does not require beta specifically and offering alternative risk measures for practitioners who distrust market-based approaches.
Metrics in this report
0.85-1.45multiple
median
Public companies globally at start of 2020
7.58%percent
median
All publicly traded companies globally, start of 2020
6.02%percent
percentile
Slow-growing European mature companies (e.g., Heineken)
9.15%percent
percentile
Young, money-losing US public companies (e.g., Casper)
42.36%percent
average
US equities, 2-year annualized returns