aswathdamodaran.blogspot.com · 2019-11-15 · 2393d

Musings on Markets: The SoftBank-WeWork End Game—Savior Economics or Sunk Cost Problem?

This article analyzes SoftBank's $8 billion rescue investment in WeWork following the company's failed IPO, arguing that the decision represents a classic sunk cost fallacy rather than sound financial logic. The author examines the role of fair-value accounting in distorting corporate decision-making and critiques the notion of 'smart money' in venture capital, contending that investor success is as much luck as skill.

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Metrics in this report

SoftBank Discount to Holdings Value

0.27ratio

Market capitalization at 73% of value of non-consolidated holdings, suggesting 27% discount

SoftBank Market Capitalization Decline

15billion USD

Loss in value from August 14, 2019 (WeWork IPO announcement) through November 2019

SoftBank Price-to-Book Ratio

1.23ratio

Market cap as percentage of book value in November 2019; approaching parity

WeWork Valuation Post-Rescue

8billion USD

SoftBank pricing after failed IPO and capital injection in November 2019

WeWork Valuation Pre-IPO

47billion USD

SoftBank pricing before IPO collapse in August 2019