Musings on Markets: The SoftBank-WeWork End Game—Savior Economics or Sunk Cost Problem?
This article analyzes SoftBank's $8 billion rescue investment in WeWork following the company's failed IPO, arguing that the decision represents a classic sunk cost fallacy rather than sound financial logic. The author examines the role of fair-value accounting in distorting corporate decision-making and critiques the notion of 'smart money' in venture capital, contending that investor success is as much luck as skill.
Metrics in this report
0.27ratio
Market capitalization at 73% of value of non-consolidated holdings, suggesting 27% discount
15billion USD
Loss in value from August 14, 2019 (WeWork IPO announcement) through November 2019
1.23ratio
Market cap as percentage of book value in November 2019; approaching parity
8billion USD
SoftBank pricing after failed IPO and capital injection in November 2019
47billion USD
SoftBank pricing before IPO collapse in August 2019