Musings on Markets: The Beyond Meat Valuation
Aswath Damodaran analyzes Beyond Meat's post-IPO valuation, constructing a DCF model that values the company at $3.3 billion ($47/share) against a market price of $127/share. The article examines market sizing for plant-based meats, competitive positioning against Impossible Foods, and the risks of macro trend betting when the underlying business fundamentals remain unproven.
Metrics in this report
7.46%percent
Beyond Meat WACC assumption in valuation model reflecting risk profile
1 trillionUSD
Global meat market in 2018
5 to 8billion USD
2023 market size estimates across forecasters
1 to 5billion USD
2018 market estimate depending on product definition and geography
13.22%percent
US food processing companies in 2018
15%percent
Beyond Meat over next four years requiring ~$500M capital
3.0ratio
target
Beyond Meat projected efficiency vs. typical food processing at 1.5x