Musings on Markets: The Pricing Game
This article examines how publicly traded companies are priced across global markets in early 2019, distinguishing between intrinsic value (determined by cash flows, growth, and risk) and market price (determined by supply, demand, and momentum). The author presents five key propositions about pricing: absolute rules fail in relative markets, global markets share similar distributional characteristics despite level differences, book value is overrated, fundamentals largely explain pricing multiples, and markets price what is actually valued rather than what should be valued.
Metrics in this report
5.16multiple
first decile
US stocks, January 1, 2019
25percent
less than
US market, January 1, 2019
130dollars
market average
Social media platforms at peak of craze
20.63multiple
median
Chinese stocks, January 1, 2019
9.40multiple
median
Russian and East European stocks, January 1, 2019
6.09–27.31multiple
decile range
US stocks, January 1, 2019
10.36–53.70multiple
quartile range
US stocks, January 1, 2019