aswathdamodaran.blogspot.com · 2019-02-08 · 2673d

Musings on Markets: Dividends and Buybacks - Fact and Fiction

This data-driven analysis examines the rise of stock buybacks in the U.S. and globally, arguing that buybacks are primarily a symptom of globalization and lower returns on investment rather than evidence of managerial short-termism. The author challenges legislative proposals to restrict buybacks by presenting empirical evidence showing most buybacks are conducted by mature, low-growth companies with moderate debt levels, and argues that forced reinvestment into bad businesses would worsen, not improve, economic outcomes.

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Metrics in this report

Buyback as Percentage of Cash Return

60percent

S&P 500 companies in 2018

Buyback as Percentage of Market Capitalization

4-5percent

S&P 500 companies with lowest expected growth in revenues

Buyback as Percentage of Market Capitalization

0.95percent

Companies in highest growth class

Cash Payout Ratio

92.12percent

S&P 500 companies in 2018, including both dividends and buybacks as percentage of net income

Companies Earning Less Than Cost of Capital

60percent

Both globally and in the U.S.

Net Cash Return

46percent

All U.S. publicly traded companies in 2018, after netting stock issuances and adjusting for R&D capitalization